The brackets are out, and two of our hometown teams are top seeds. Xavier is the No. 1 seed in the West and UC is No. 2 in the South.
Since 2001, I’ve kept notes on the tournament results based on the notion that the The 10-member NCAA Men's Division I Basketball Committee handicaps the entire field for you. Of course that only helps to a certain extent, as you’re really looking at 4 separate tournaments of sixteen teams (not including the play-in teams).
High seeds are high seeds for a reason, though these games are played by humans. With that, here’s a look at the 2018 tournament by the numbers...mostly.
And apologies for the table formatting being a little hinky.
Don't forget to listen to The Cincy Shirts Podcast Episode 4 with guest Cashmere Wright.
March Madness Notes -2018
The favorite has made 9 of the last 14 Final Fours (Won in 2005,2007,2009,2012, 2013,2015)
(In 2016 Kansas and Michigan State were co-favorites. Neither made the Final Four)
This year Villanova is the odds favorite with UVA the No. 1 seed overall.
Don’t go west young people as 43 of 55 Champions have come from east of the Mississippi River. Eleven of those Western wins were UCLA and one was UNLV (‘90).
An ACC team has made the Final Four 25 times since 1990 winning 9. The rest of the U.S., 14. None in 2007, 2008, 2011 (UNC in 2009 won, Duke 2010, none in 2012, Syracuse in 2013, none in 2014, Duke won in 2015, UNC 2017).
In the past 40 years the champion has been a(n):
8-Once 6-Twice 4-Once 3- Six times
2- 8 times 1- Twenty-three 5-Zero 7-Zero
Final Four Seed Totals
|
01 |
02 |
03 |
04 |
05 |
06 |
07 |
08 |
09 |
|
7 (3,1,2,1) |
9 (5,2,1,1) |
9 (3,3,1,2) |
8 (3,2,2,1) |
11 (1,1,4,5) |
20 (11,4,3,2) |
6 (1,2,1,2) |
4 (1,1,1,1) |
7 (3,2,1,1) |
|
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
|
13 (1,5,2,5) |
26 (3,4,11,8) |
9 (1,2,2,4) |
18 (1,4,4,9) |
13 (1,2,2,8) |
10 (1,1,1,7) |
15 (1,2,2,10) |
12 (7,1,3,1) |
#1 Seeds in Final Four
|
01 |
02 |
03 |
04 |
05 |
06 |
07 |
08 |
09 |
|
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
2 |
|
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
|
1 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
Seed winner
|
01 |
02 |
03 |
04 |
05 |
06 |
07 |
08 |
09 |
|
1 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
|
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
|
1 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
Looking for upsets? Keep these stats in mind:
16/1: Next...
15/2: One 15 beat a 2 in 2016 (Mid Tenn over Mich St.) One 15 beat a 2 in 2013 (Florida GC beat Georgetown) Two 15’s won in 2012 (Lehigh beat Duke, Norfolk beat Missouri). The last 15 to beat a 2 before that was Hampton in 2001.
It happened only 3 other times total before Hampton--91,93,97. None in 2013, none in 2014 or 2015, None in 2017
14/3: Since 1989, 17 14’s have beaten 3’s. (17/116) 15% In 2017 there were none. In 2016- Stephan Austin over WVU, 2014-Mercer beat Duke, 2013-Harvard, 2006-NW State, 2005-Bucknell, 2010-Ohio, 2015-Ga. State and UAB in the next round)
13/4: 13’s win 20% (14 of 68) of the time in the past 16 years. (16-Hawaii beat California) None in 2014, none in 2015 or 2017.
Two 13’s won in 2008, 1 in 2012, 1 in 2013. None made it out of second until Bradley did in 2006 winning in R2. In 2012 Ohio made it to the Sweet 16.
2017: 0
2016: 1
2015: 0
2014: 0
2013: 1
2012: 1
2011: 1
2010: 1
2009: 1
2008: 2
2007: 0
2006: Bradley!
2005: 1
2004: 0
2003: 1
2002: 1
2001: 2
12/5: 12’s are 29 of 68 (42.6%) in past 16 (1.73 for 4)
2017: 1 for 4
2016: 2 for 4
2015: 0 for 4
2014: 3 for 4
2013: 3 for 4
2012: 2 for 4
2011: 1 for 4
2010: 1 for 4
2009: 3 for 4
2008: 2 for 4
2007: 0 for 4
2006: 2 for 4
2005: 1 for 4
2004: 2 for 4
2003: 1 for 4
2002: 3 for 4
2001: 2 for 4
11/6: 11’s are 30 of 68 (44.1%) since 2001.
2017: 3 of 4 (URI, X, USC)
2016: 3 of 4 (Wichita, UNI, Gonzaga)
2015: 2 of 4 (Dayton, UCLA)
2014: 2 of 4 (Mid TN S16, Dayton E8)
2013: 1 of 4
2012: 2 of 4
2011: 3 of 4
2010: 2 of 4 (Wash won in 2nd round)
2009: 1 of 4
2008: 1 of 4
2007: 2 of 4
2006: 2 of 4 (George Mason went to Final Four)
2005: 1 of 4
2004: 0 of 4
2003: 1 of 4
2002: 2 of 4
2001: 2 of 4
10/7: 10’s are 25 of 68 (36.7%) since 2001.
2017: 1 of 4
2016: 2 of 4
2015: 1 of 4
2014: 1 of 4
2013: 1 of 4
2012: 2 of 4
2011: 1 of 4
2010: 3 of 4
2009: 3 of 4
2008: 1 of 4
2007: 0 for 4
2006: 2 for 4
2005: 1 for 4
2004: 1 for 4
2003: 2 for 4
2002: 1 for 4
2001: 2 for 4
9/8: 9’s are 30 of 68 (44.1%) since 2001.
2017: 1 of 4 (9’s won 1)
2016: 3 of 4 (9’s won 3)
2015: 0 of 4 (9’s won 0)
2014: 1 of 4 (9’s won 1)
2013: 2 of 4 (9’s won 2)
2012: 1 of 4 (9’s won 1)
2011: 1 of 4 (9’s won 1)
2010: 2 of 4 (9’s won 2)
2009: 2 of 4 (9’s won 2)
2008: 2 of 4 (9’s won 2)
2007: 3 of 4 (9’s won 3)
2006: 1 of 4 (9’s won 1)
2005: 3 of 4 (9’s won 3)
2004: 1 of 4 (9’s won 1)
2003: 3 of 4 (9’s won 3)
2002: 0 of 4 (9’s won 0)
2001: 4 of 4 (9’s won 4)
That’s it. The accuracy of this compilation is not guaranteed, and keep in mind that while I do have a degree, it is in broadcasting and it is from Bowling Green State University.
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